Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
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