Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
0.15) 
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