Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
