SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (13.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunkerque | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 35.7% | 30.87% | 33.43% |
| Both teams to score 39.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.26% | 67.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.24% | 85.76% |
| Dunkerque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% | 36.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.17% | 72.83% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% | 37.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.58% | 74.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunkerque | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% 2-0 @ 7.06% 2-1 @ 6.9% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.99% Total : 35.69% | 0-0 @ 13.57% 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.86% | 0-1 @ 13.25% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.73% Total : 33.42% |
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