Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Pau had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
