Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Ajaccio |
46.3% (![]() | 27.67% (![]() | 26.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.1% (![]() | 59.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.84% (![]() | 80.16% (![]() |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% (![]() | 25.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% (![]() | 60.89% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.86% (![]() | 39.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.15% (![]() | 75.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Caen | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.03% |
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