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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
AA

Caen
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Avinel (36' og.), Mendy (45', 63')
Kyeremeh (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bayala (53'), Bammou (66')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concarneau 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawAjaccio
46.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.67% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.89% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)75.85% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Caen 46.3%
    Ajaccio 26.03%
    Draw 27.66%
CaenDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.68%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 26.03%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Concarneau 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 2-0 Pau
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 1-0 Caen
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 2-2 St Etienne
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Amiens 1-3 Caen
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Quevilly 0-1 Ajaccio
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-1 Rodez AF
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Marseille
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-5 Rennes
Sunday, May 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1


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