Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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