Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.37) 
0.41) 
