Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
-0.69) 
0.33) 
