Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0) 
-0)
