Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.