Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
