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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari

Bastia
1 - 1
Pau

Santelli (50')
Magri (48'), Ducrocq (67'), Bocognano (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (56')
Essende (55')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Pau.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawPau
49.61%27.79%22.6%
Both teams to score 41.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.5%62.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.9%82.1%
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52%25.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68%60.31%
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99%80%
Score Analysis
    Bastia 49.59%
    Pau 22.6%
    Draw 27.78%
BastiaDrawPau
1-0 @ 15.27%
2-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 3.92%
4-0 @ 1.63%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.04%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.6%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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