Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
