SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
| 45.76% | 26.72% | 27.52% |
| Both teams to score 48.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% | 76.84% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% | 24.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.35% | 58.65% |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% | 35.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.66% | 72.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.52% |
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