SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
37.58% ( -0.6) | 27.12% ( 0.28) | 35.3% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( -1.08) | 54.87% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( -0.9) | 76.16% ( 0.9) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.86) | 28.24% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( -1.1) | 63.95% ( 1.1) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.33) | 29.62% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( -0.4) | 65.66% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.29% |
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