Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Laval had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.
0.2) 
-0.07) 
