Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.17) 
