Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Caen had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.84) 
0.95) 
