Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
2.32) 
-0.03) 
