Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Metz had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
0.9) 
-1.16) 
