Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.