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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2021 at 7pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
3 - 0
Valenciennes

Courtet (40'), Barreto (47'), Moussiti-Oko (63')
Moussiti-Oko (53'), Huard (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abeid (17'), D'Almeida (68'), Hadj Dabo (73')
D'Almeida (73'), Abeid (85')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Valenciennes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawValenciennes
45.81%28.58%25.61%
Both teams to score 42.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.95%63.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.5%82.5%
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84%63.16%
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71%41.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19%77.81%
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 45.8%
    Valenciennes 25.6%
    Draw 28.57%
AjaccioDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 8.35%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 25.6%

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