Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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