Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
0.84) 
-0.12) 
