Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.24) 
