SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Rodez AF | 38 | -10 | 43 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 38 | -20 | 38 |
| 19 | Dunkerque | 38 | -25 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Toulouse | 38 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajaccio | 38 | 20 | 75 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 38 | 22 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Quevilly | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 22.43% | 29.89% | 47.67% |
| Both teams to score 36.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.44% | 68.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.7% | 86.3% |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.04% | 82.96% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% | 29.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.66% | 65.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Quevilly | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 1.17% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.42% | 0-0 @ 13.98% 1-1 @ 12.71% 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.31% Total : 29.89% | 0-1 @ 17.13% 0-2 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-3 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.18% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.29% Total : 47.66% |
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