Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.03) 
