Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
0.44) 
-0.65) 
