Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.75) 
-0.33) 
