Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 46.62%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.1) 
