Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.