Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
