Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
