Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
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