Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
