SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Caen had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Caen win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Toulouse |
| 27.16% | 28.21% | 44.63% |
| Both teams to score 44.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.89% | 61.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.93% | 81.07% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% | 38.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.43% | 75.57% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% | 27.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.24% | 62.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 13.76% 0-2 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-3 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.25% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.79% Total : 44.62% |
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