Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.
0.55) 
-0.12) 
