SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
52.43% ( -0.02) | 24.82% ( 0.02) | 22.75% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( -0.07) | 51.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( -0.07) | 73.71% ( 0.07) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( -0.03) | 19.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.14% ( -0.06) | 51.86% ( 0.06) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.04) | 37.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.52% ( -0.04) | 74.48% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.43% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.75% |
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