Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 28.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.19) 
