Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
