Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
3.77) 
-5.47) 
