Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.03) 
