Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
1.13) 
-0.91) 
