Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.