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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 2, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
LG

Colorado
1 - 4
LA Galaxy

Larraz (19')
Abubakar (3'), Cannon (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pec (8'), Paintsil (45+3'), Puig (90+1', 90+3')
Cerrillo (73'), Nelson (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 5-0 Colorado
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 5-0 Colorado
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Colorado Rapids 1-4 Los Angeles Galaxy (Los Angeles wins the series)

There are too many attacking weapons that the Galaxy can call upon, and plenty of glaring defensive issues surrounding the Rapids right now, so it is hard for us to envision the Burgundy shutting down LA on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.

Result
Colorado RapidsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 22.21% (0.026 0.03) 30.65% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 66.02% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)34.03% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.1% (-0.2 -0.2)55.9% (0.198 0.2)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)14.99% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)43.44% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.127 -0.13)22.33% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (-0.19 -0.19)55.81% (0.189 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Colorado Rapids 47.13%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 30.65%
    Draw 22.21%
Colorado RapidsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 30.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LA Galaxy 5-0 Colorado
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 5-0 Colorado
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Austin
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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