SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Toronto |
60.08% ( -0.11) | 21% ( 0.04) | 18.92% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( -0.08) | 40.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( -0.09) | 62.83% ( 0.08) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( -0.06) | 13.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.3% ( -0.12) | 39.69% ( 0.11) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( 0.02) | 34.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( 0.02) | 71.71% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.92% |
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