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Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
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LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Austin

Pec (31'), Joveljic (76')
Brugman (8'), Puig (14'), Delgado (60'), Micovic (61'), Joveljic (90+5'), Cerrillo (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Driussi (55')
Hines-Ike (26'), Pereira (31'), Cascante (50'), Wolff (87')
Biro (90+13')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-1 Austin
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1 Austin FC

Los Angeles Galaxy are scoring for fun at the moment, and it is hard to see them being denied all three points here.   We fully expect the home side to cruise to a relatively routine win come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.99%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.97% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawAustin FC
58.99% (-0.399 -0.4) 19.04% (0.145 0.15) 21.97% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 69.24% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.68% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)26.31% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.38% (-0.507 -0.51)46.62% (0.505 0.51)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95% (-0.209 -0.21)9.04% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.23% (-0.498 -0.5)30.77% (0.497 0.5)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)23.87% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)58.06% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 58.99%
    Austin FC 21.97%
    Draw 19.04%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 5.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 3.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 58.99%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.16% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.04%
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.09% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 21.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-1 Austin
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Houston
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Austin
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Austin
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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