SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.99%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.97% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
58.99% ( -0.4) | 19.04% ( 0.15) | 21.97% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 69.24% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.39) | 26.31% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.51) | 46.62% ( 0.51) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.95% ( -0.21) | 9.04% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.23% ( -0.5) | 30.77% ( 0.5) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( -0.05) | 23.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% ( -0.06) | 58.06% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.54% Total : 58.99% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.04% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 21.97% |
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