SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 60.14%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.14%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (4.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
60.14% ( 1.94) | 18.02% ( -0.66) | 21.84% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 73.22% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.6% ( 1.66) | 21.4% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.93% ( 2.27) | 40.06% ( -2.27) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( 0.88) | 7.36% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.44% ( 2.24) | 26.55% ( -2.24) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 0.14) | 20.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( 0.22) | 53.72% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.24)5-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.2)4-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.15)6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.15)5-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.11)Other @ 4.28% Total : 60.14% | 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.02% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.17)0-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.84% |
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