SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
51.32% ( -0.02) | 22.24% ( 0.32) | 26.44% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 62.55% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% ( -1.8) | 37.19% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.6% ( -1.97) | 59.4% ( 1.98) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( -0.65) | 14.72% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.07% ( -1.25) | 42.93% ( 1.26) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -1.16) | 26.64% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% ( -1.56) | 61.88% ( 1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.23% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.44% |
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